Next bitcoin crashes

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In the Bitcoin network, user transactions are grouped in blocks and recorded to a digital public ledger called a blockchain. The amount of bitcoins rewarded for each block decreases with time: it is halved every 4 years. This event, the moment when the mining reward is divided by 2, is commonly called “Bitcoin halving”. Other denominations are used: “reward drop”, “reward halving”, or simply “the halving” or “the Halvening” which is a popular meme among bitcoiners. When Bitcoin was created in 2009, the initial reward was 50 bitcoins. In november 2012, it dropped to 25btc after the first halving.

The second halving will take place in July 2016, decreasing the reward to 12. WHAT IS THE IMPACT ON BITCOIN PRICE? As any freely traded asset, Bitcoin price depends solely on demand and supply. The evolution of bitcoins supply is hard coded and is known to everyone, so it all depends on the evolution of demand. Bitcoin being a very young currency with much room to grow in use and value, I would personally bet on a price increase.

Note that other examples of halvings are available for comparison. The first Bitcoin halving occurred on the 28th of November 2012. More recently, the Litecoin, a Bitcoin clone, passed its first halving on August 25th, 2015. What is certain for this second Bitcoin halving is that similar wild, speculative, short-term rallies and crashes will occur. The interesting observation will be, on a larger time-scale, to see if the up-trend that Bitcoin price has been experiencing since its inception in 2009 will continue its path.

This web page is connected to several web APIs to provide real-time data about the Bitcoin network. The new block announcement is obtained through a websocket established with blockchain. The spot price is provided by Bitstamp web API. Where’s the skepticism as bitcoin keeps soaring?

Some people kill time at the airport by browsing duty-free shops. I decided to shop for bitcoin. But first, there are two things you should know about me: I tend to be almost as afraid of losing money investing as I am of flying. On some level, I figured one fear might cancel out the other. So last Thursday, while waiting for a flight to Nashville, I pulled up a popular application called Coinbase that can be used to buy and sell bitcoin. 10,000 for the first time a couple days earlier, before retreating somewhat.

News of bitcoin’s rapid rise was everywhere, including on CNN. For 15 minutes at the airport, I refreshed the price of bitcoin over and over, watching as it gained and lost hundreds of dollars in a matter of minutes. I called out the price fluctuations breathlessly to my wife, who gently encouraged me not to be an idiot, before returning to her magazine. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon recently called bitcoin a “fraud” and suggested people who buy it are “stupid. Warren Buffett called bitcoin a “mirage” in 2014 and warned investors to “stay away. We want to hear from you.